Anton Hasselgren has long been interested in finance and financial markets. In addition to working on his dissertation, he runs a fintech startup named Robostock that aims to provide robot advisory to private investors.


3 questions to Anton:

How did you choose your topic for the dissertation?

Anton Hasselgren
Anton Hasselgren with the thesis Essays on Investor Behavior and Trading Strategies in International Financial Markets.

My master's thesis was about the carry trade strategy in the foreign exchange market, and that sparked my interest both for research but also for international financial markets, which my dissertation is about.


What research methods have you used?
The four articles that my dissertation consists of use different methods to measure and analyze. In the first article, I use an established method to measure how hedge funds exhibit herd behavior. In the second, I use the so-called False Discovery Rate method to check the significance of a large number of investment strategies. My analysis methods are primarily based on well-established statistical tools.


What has been easy and difficult in the dissertation work?
It took me a very long time to understand at all how I should spend my days. Now  when I finally feel that I know what I'm doing with, and then it's over! So it has been a challenge to get a grip on what it means to write a dissertation. Another challenge is that you are relatively alone in your work. I might not say it has been easy, but fun - in a lot of ways!


Abstract

This dissertation contains four articles that in different ways inform on investor behavior in international financial markets, their impact on the underlying market, and the trading strategies that they pursue.

Article I studies how hedge funds herd in currency future contracts and how it is affecting the underlying market. The results indicate that hedge funds herd, and that they herd in a pattern that is consistent with them following the carry trade strategy. Hedge fund herding has an impact on the underlying market, in the direction of the herd, and the results give no indication that their herding in destabilizing.

Article II examines if limits to arbitrage can help explain the returns to technical analysis strategies in the foreign exchange market. The findings show that returns to technical analysis strategies are higher when limits to arbitrage are more severe, supporting the argument that profit opportunities can persist as arbitrage activity is costly and risky. However, investor sentiment seem to be unrelated to technical analysis returns. The main takeaway is that limits to arbitrage are an important determinant of technical analysis profitability.

Article III investigates whether the trading activity of speculators is beneficial for the speed of information diffusion in the foreign exchange market. The findings show that predictive ability of the equity market on foreign exchange strategies dissipates when speculator activity is high. However, the same results are not found for the commodity markets ability to predict foreign exchange strategies. Overall, the results indicate that speculators play a vital role for informational efficiency in the foreign exchange market.

Article IV examines the impact of investor attention on stock and foreign exchange market volatility in emerging economies using a newly constructed innovative attention proxies that capture the full spectrum of the dynamics of the information processing stages. The results show that investor attention significantly effects emerging stock market volatility, but not FX market volatility.